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Keystone Analytics® - Governor Wolf Budget Survey - Tobacco Tax

Voters Support Governor’s Plan to Tax Natural Gas Extraction and Tobacco

March 12, 2015 in News, Polling & Analysis News

Lemoyne, PA (March 12, 2015) – While voters broadly favor Gov. Wolf’s goal of raising school funding and reducing school property taxes, the individual components in his first budget proposal received mixed reviews, according to a recent survey from Keystone Analytics®. Tweet: Voters Support Governor’s Plan to Tax Natural Gas Extraction and Tobacco http://bit.ly/1GwCXjK #PAbudget via @KeystonePA

A majority of voters support reducing the school property tax by increasing the sales and personal income tax and imposing a natural gas extraction tax. However, when individual components of the plan are tested, only 40 percent support raising the state income tax to 3.7 percent Tweet: 55 percent of Pennsylvanians oppose raising the state income tax to 3.7 percent http://bit.ly/1GwCXjK #PAbudget via @KeystonePA and voters are fairly split (47 percent support/50 percent oppose) on raising the state’s sales tax rate to 6.6 percent.

Eliminating sales tax exemptions was the most strongly-opposed proposal, with 77 percent of respondents not in favor of the plan. Of the 77 percent, 63 percent of respondents strongly opposed expanding the sales tax to cover previously exempt items like newspapers, non-prescription drugs and other products and services.

Only a natural gas extraction tax and a $1 per pack increase in the tobacco tax received a majority of support from respondents, with 68 percent supporting the gas tax Tweet: 68 percent of Pennsylvanians support a natural gas extraction tax http://bit.ly/1GwCXjK #PAbudget via @KeystonePA and 73 percent supporting the tobacco tax. Tweet: 73 percent of voters support a $1 per pack increase in the tobacco tax http://bit.ly/1GwCXjK #PAbudget via @KeystonePA

Two months into his first term as governor, 50 percent of respondents had a favorable impression of Wolf Tweet: 50 percent of voters have a favorable impression of @GovernorTomWolf http://bit.ly/1GwCXjK #PAbudget via @KeystonePA and 51 percent of respondents approved of his performance as governor so far.

Results are based on a live telephone survey of 500 likely general election voters and includes a +/-4.4 percent margin of error. Interviews were conducted on March 8-10, 2015. A full survey summary is available below and the complete survey results may be downloaded.

Media contact: Jennifer Shockley, 717.614.4298



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Poll Shows Pittsburgh Mayoral Primary Up for Grabs

March 8, 2013 in News, Polling & Analysis News

Lemoyne, PA (March 7, 2013) – The Pittsburgh Democratic Mayoral primary is wide open after the announcement by current Mayor Luke Ravenstahl that he will not seek re-election, according to a poll released by Keystone Analytics®.

Current Councilman Bill Peduto appears strongest out of the gate polling the highest among five potential candidates tested. Peduto, along with City Controller Michael Lamb, both have very strong name recognition with these voters but Peduto’s recognition translates to actual support with 30 percent of likely Democratic Primary voters saying they would vote for him if the election were held today.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Contact: Jennifer Shockley

(717) 614-4298

To date, only Peduto and Lamb have formally announced their intent to run. Lamb polled at 87 percent total name identification, but only 13 percent of likely voters indicated they would vote for him. Peduto polled at 89 percent total name ID, with 52 percent favorability.

Voters were asked about other potential candidates. Twenty percent indicated they would vote for Jack Wagner, while Jim Ferlo and Darlene Harris pulled 7 and 5 percent of the vote, respectfully. All potential candidates have high name recognition, going from Harris at 77 percent up to Wagner at 93 percent.

The survey also asked voters about issues. Not surprisingly, jobs and economic development pulled the biggest numbers at 34 percent, with investing in schools close behind at 25 percent. Investigating government corruption is important to 17 percent of voters.

The race is likely to fluctuate as individuals formalize their campaigns prior to the March 12 filing deadline.

Results are based on a live telephone survey of 401 likely Democratic primary voters in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania and includes a +/-4.9 percent margin of error. Interviews were conducted on March 4 and 5, 2013. Full survey summary is available online.

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