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Poll Shows Movement in Pittsburgh Mayoral Primary

05.04.2013 in News, Polling & Analysis News

Lemoyne, PA (April 4, 2013) – The Pittsburgh Democratic Mayoral primary is a two-person race between Jack Wagner and Bill Peduto, according to a poll released by Keystone Analytics®.

Former Auditor General Jack Wagner has gained significant support since announcing his candidacy, with 38 percent of likely voters saying they would vote for him if the election were held today. Current Councilman Bill Peduto has held relatively steady with 31 percent support

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Contact: Jennifer Shockley

(717) 614-4298

Both Wagner and Peduto have high name recognition and favorability, with Wagner at 95 percent total name recognition and 60 percent favorable, and Peduto at 93 percent total name recognition and 58 percent favorable. Peduto is up by 11 percent among 18-49 year-olds, but Wagner wins among 65 and older by 16-points.

In a poll conducted March 4-5, 2013 by Keystone Analytics®, Peduto appeared strongest out of the gate with 30 percent of likely Democratic Primary voters saying they would vote for him if the election were held today. Twenty percent indicated they would vote for Wagner.

Since the first poll, several key events have taken place and may indicate why Wagner has seen an 18 percent bump in likely voters. City Controller Michael Lamb dropped from the race and endorsed Wagner. The increase in likely Wagner voters seems to suggest that Lamb voters have transitioned their support to Wagner. In addition, Wagner has received several key endorsements from Senator Jim Ferlo and local public-safety unions.

Other candidates lagged by considerable margins, with only 1 percent of voters saying they plan to vote for A.J. Richardson and 4 percent for Jake Wheatley.

Results are based on a live telephone survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters in Pittsburgh and includes a +/-4.9 percent margin of error. Interviews were conducted on April 2-3, 2013. Full survey summary is available online.

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Poll Shows Pittsburgh Mayoral Primary Up for Grabs

08.03.2013 in News, Polling & Analysis News

Lemoyne, PA (March 7, 2013) – The Pittsburgh Democratic Mayoral primary is wide open after the announcement by current Mayor Luke Ravenstahl that he will not seek re-election, according to a poll released by Keystone Analytics®.

Current Councilman Bill Peduto appears strongest out of the gate polling the highest among five potential candidates tested. Peduto, along with City Controller Michael Lamb, both have very strong name recognition with these voters but Peduto’s recognition translates to actual support with 30 percent of likely Democratic Primary voters saying they would vote for him if the election were held today.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Contact: Jennifer Shockley

(717) 614-4298

To date, only Peduto and Lamb have formally announced their intent to run. Lamb polled at 87 percent total name identification, but only 13 percent of likely voters indicated they would vote for him. Peduto polled at 89 percent total name ID, with 52 percent favorability.

Voters were asked about other potential candidates. Twenty percent indicated they would vote for Jack Wagner, while Jim Ferlo and Darlene Harris pulled 7 and 5 percent of the vote, respectfully. All potential candidates have high name recognition, going from Harris at 77 percent up to Wagner at 93 percent.

The survey also asked voters about issues. Not surprisingly, jobs and economic development pulled the biggest numbers at 34 percent, with investing in schools close behind at 25 percent. Investigating government corruption is important to 17 percent of voters.

The race is likely to fluctuate as individuals formalize their campaigns prior to the March 12 filing deadline.

Results are based on a live telephone survey of 401 likely Democratic primary voters in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania and includes a +/-4.9 percent margin of error. Interviews were conducted on March 4 and 5, 2013. Full survey summary is available online.

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